UNH Today

New NH Voters Replace their Conservative Predecessors

Carsey School demographer Kenneth Johnson calculates that since the last election, about 195,000 of New Hampshires 1.1 million voters have departed from the state. They have been replaced with aboutÌý230,000 new voters. 70,000 of them are newly eligible voters while the other 160,000 are new residents. According to Johnson, one in five voters will be voting for the first time this election. He also states that the new voters that have moved to New Hampshire are more liberal than those that they replaced which could make a huge difference in a narrow race.Ìý

Will Bernie Sanders Be Able to Keep His Lead Going Into the NH Primaries?

While former Republican National Committeeman Steve Duprey believes that Bernie Sanders will decisively win the New Hampshire Democratic primary, Dante Scala, a Carsey School fellow, believes that Sanders has a lot to worry about. While Sanders' lead has been consistent, "for the most part it has also been narrow," Sacala said to the Union Leader. "We have seen leads larger than Sanders' disappear in the week between Iowa and the primary. New Hampshire is not a done deal."